Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. I like the consistency of Rai here in a matchup as a slight favorite. Golf course Bay Hill Club and Lodge | Par 72 | 7,466 yards Course comparisons (according to Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. Were back with another edition of PGA He nailed the Houston Open, backing Tony Finau to win at 25-1, and is up almost seven units on his plays overall, a profit of nearly $700 for $100 bettors. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | Responsible sports betting starts with a game plan. He got his first career victory less than a month later and finished the season with four. He finished his Korn Ferry Tour season with a win, a third and T-10 all within his last seven starts. The model also included J.T. The only thing thats held him back is the flat stick, which weve seen him flip on a dime and win tournaments before. Its that kind of formula that yielded his breakthrough victory at Torrey Pines of all places. His success at this prompted FanShare Sports to enlist him as a guest writer, which evolved into him writing the weekly Under The Radar article. Finishing T-50 in Phoenix and T-45 in Los Angeles are certainly not bad results, but they will look bad compared to the high standards that Kim has provided us in his first nine months on tour. Hes proving to be a well-rounded golfer with plenty of room for growth. For the first time since his back injury last year, Zalatoris looked like himself again in his most recent start. Hes been much improved with the flatstick, gaining strokes in nine of 14 starts. (Photo by Derick E. Hingle/USA TODAY Sports). Toss in four par 5s and scoring conditions during which par will feel like a red number, and it wont matter much that his putting unlikely will impress. Take me to the Rocket League category page! McIlroy disappointed with a T-32 in Phoenix and T-29 in Los Angeles, but his advanced metrics tell a different story. Kim +17000Justin Suh +17000Kevin Yu +17000Byeong Hun An +17000Ben Taylor +17000Troy Merritt +19000Stewart Cink +19000Callum Tarren +19000Matthew NeSmith +19000Erik Van Rooyen +21000Satoshi Kodaira +21000Adam Long +21000Charley Hoffman +21000David Lingmerth +21000. Course Fit(compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1. 1:10 am ET, be sure to check out the PGA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine golf expert Mike McClure, You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks, sleepers, head-to-head matchups, best bets, and his top one and done pick, You can see the rest of McClure's Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bet picks at SportsLine, You can only see his Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets at SportsLine, Visit SportsLine to see McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets, all from the expert who's up over $9,600 since the PGA Tour restart, See the full Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational props, expert picks, Spieth among chasers at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win. We run 1000s simulations for every PGA Tour event to predict the most likely outcomes and find value against the sportsbooks. See full The American Express 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here. Luke List Anytime (every time?) RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field this week at the 2023 Honda Classic, Robby Shelton ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,700 FanDuel). Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Take me to the League of Legends category page! Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. Mayo: Emiliano Grillo (+270, DraftKings) The CJ Cup wasnt kind to Grillo, but now hes back at a happy place. Each lineup consists of four starters and two If he puts together four complete rounds, Day will likely be in contention when Sunday comes around and McClure sees huge value in taking him to finish in the top-20. His last four starts, not including the staggered-start Tour Championship, resulted in two wins and a T-5. Hes gained strokes with his putter in 12 straight starts so if he can strike it well again, hell be in line for a great finish. Get Golf picks Harris English ($8,400 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). Mayo won the 2020 FSWA Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and Golf Writer of the Year awards, along with the Fantasy Sports Trade Association Best Sports Betting Analyst award in 2020. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. We are only five starts removed from his win at the RSM Classic, and he earned a top 10 at the Honda Classic last year despite losing four strokes with the flatstick. For one thing, it's rather hilly, a rarity in Florida (although not in the Orlando market) and dotted with sinkhole ponds incorporated in the design in dramatic ways. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. Rory McIlroy, No. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at Hovland/Moriakawa (8.6 percent), 3. Hes lost a combined 12.9 strokes/putting over his past two weight starts. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Russell Knox (+750, DraftKings) Knox comes into this event ranked 18th in the FanShareSports Course Suitability Ranking this week so its not surprising to see that he already has three top-10 finishes to his name here at El Camaleon. Now hell travel to PGA National, where hes gained strokes putting in three straight trips. Reunion Resort & Golf Club 7. His stat profile is full of inconsistency, and his inaccuracy off-the-tee could lead to big numbers in Florida this week. 2023 American Express First Round Leader Picks: Can Davis Riley Start Hot? Hes very inconsistent and has struggled putting all four rounds together, but you can see hes growing and getting more comfortable on the PGA Tour. At the 2022 Masters, McClure's model was all over Scottie Scheffler's first career major championship victory heading into the weekend. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! I worry about him losing five strokes on the putting surfaces, but his clubhead speed and newfound confidence can be a difference-maker this week. That will undoubtedly change soon, but Im not ready to bet on it at single-digit odds. Hell look to find some putting improvements this week on the greens at PGA National. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational DFS picks 2023: Rory McIlroy's staggering advanced metrics, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion. Jon Rahm ($11,500 DraftKings | $12,200 FanDuel). His putter is better than average, but it won't keep him in contention. Its a stat line that is full of red flags. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for The American Express 2023, all from the expert who is up almost $700 on his PGA Tour picks this season, and find out. Min Woo Lee ($9,400 DraftKings | $11,000 FanDuel). Now, McDonald has studied the 2023 The American Express field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. While he still has work to do, many fully exempt members would love to trade places with that position, but it projects to improve at Bay Hill where he placed T17 in his last trip in 2019. Powers, Golf Digest: Davis Riley (+650, DraftKings) Riley has fallen out of favor with the gambling community of late thanks to some so-so results, but his irons have still been cooking. The putting woes continued for Spieth, who lost three strokes to the field in just two rounds at Riviera before missing the cut. Yes, hes first in SG/total. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis. Thats a sour combination most weeks, but its especially true here at PGA National, which will require putting and precision. Caddie: Brendon Todd (+100) over Seamus Power (Bet365) Todd, a former winner here, has been playing some spectacular golf this Fall. Corey Conners ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel). While encouraging, that has been his best finish since his win at the BMW PGA Championship10 starts ago. Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. Follow the Twilight 9 Podcast: Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts. Jordan Spieth ($8,600 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). These DFS Golf cheat sheets will help you, The West Coast swing is already at an end as the PGA Tour moves to its seventh event of the season. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Detry will be coming into this event brimming with confidence after his runner-up finish last week. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Honda Classic. A strong field will tee off Thursday beginning at 11:30 a.m. 7 and sank one of the most beautiful aces youll ever see. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Im surprised were still getting 40-1 on Detry after his run of really good golf. The second-place finish is the Europeans fourth top-12 in his last six events. WebPGA Tour betting predictions, tips, analysis and best picks surrounding PGA Tour events, including outright, PGA Tour prop bets and much more. Aaron Rai ($7,700 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel). One of these players had an excellent finish his last time in Palm Springs and has been in solid form.You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine. Hes one of the most experienced golfers in the field at PGA National, where hes played 10 times, making the cut in all but one. Hes been wildly inconsistent in each facet of his game, and this price is too much to stomach compared to his peers. We picked our Combine that with a wild driver, and Spieth will likely be playing out of the thick rough often at Bay Hill, narrowing his path to the top of the leaderboard. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. After a dreadful few years, Tway is playing some of his best golf in recent memorymaking six of his last eight cuts. Still, he hasn't played in this tournament since 2017 and has missed the cut both previous times in La Quinta. Now hell head to Bay Hill with little experience to bank on. 1 Jon Rahm is looking for his fourth win of 2023. The uncommon paspalum greens could level the playing field for him as a putter, and that could boost him up big time. Svensson rebounded from MCs at Torrey Pines and Phoenix with a T-9 at Riviera, and hell find a reprieve in this field. But hes certainly gaining on it, with three top-25 finishes in his last seven starts on tour. Lee (DraftKings) There are exciting things happening with Days game right now, primarily his significant improvement on approach shots. Spaun +19000Harris English +19000Byeong Hun An +20000Justin Suh +21000Patrick Rodgers +21000Taylor Pendrith +21000Joel Dahmen +21000Sam Ryder +21000Taylor Moore +22000Emiliano Grillo +22000Kurt Kitayama +22000Joseph Bramlett +23000Danny Willett +23000Ben Griffin +24000Garrick Higgo +24000Francesco Molinari +25000. 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, field. This site is strictly intended for adults (18+) Hes already proven that it works at Bay Hill, too. Hes been quiet of late but he still connected for a T11 at PGA West, and we can count on him to find fairways at Bay Hill. Hovland stepped up to the tee at the par-3 No. Please check your email for a confirmation. The odds are a bit too long as a result. Jon Rahm (8/1) Keyur Khamar. Fitzpatrick has been candid about dealing with a neck injury over the course of the past few weeks. Matt Fitzpatrick might be coming back down to earth after his US Open win so take Jon Rahm to beat the Englishman in a 72-hole match bet at -130 DraftKings Grant has quietly flashed brilliance this year, earning a T-25 at Torrey Pines and a T-20 at Pebble Beach. Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in. From tee-to-green hes elite and now hes making massive gains with his putter. Gehman: Brian Harman (35-1, DraftKings) Harman is one of the most fascinating players in this field. Day is elite in multiple metrics. He has two top-five finishes in his past four trips to this event. Now that hes warm, Bay Hill actually presents a better fit for his long ball off the tee, but in this beefier field, hes slipped behind the crowd, and thats good for us. Those who can avoid disaster and grind their way through 72 holes will give themselves a chance to hoist the trophy on Sunday night. Adam Svensson ($8,700 DraftKings | $10,200 FanDuel). Bermuda: Russell Knox. Back the 2017 Open Championship winner to triumph at +3000 with Caesars Sportsbook. 1. Shane Lowry ($10,400 DraftKings | $11,800 FanDuel). It should be a birdie-fest this week when several of the world's top golfers descend on La Quinta, Calif. for the PGA Tour's 2023 American Express. The only thing worrisome about this play is he hasnt truly contended on the PGA Tour yet, even last week after he grabbed a share of the first round lead. Im not really understanding why Henleys priced up here just below the elites. 2023 Genesis Invitational Golf DFS Fades & Pivots: Whats Wrong With Tom Kim? Released Wednesday. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational First Round Leader Picks: Rickie Fowler Time! Visit SportsLine to see McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets, all from the expert who's up over $9,600 since the PGA Tour restart, and find out. Hes played four times this yearmissing the cut in Phoenix but earning a runner-up, third place finish and T-6 in his three other starts. Schauffele (19-1), Zalatoris (19-1) and Tom Kim (20-1) also are top choices, while Si Woo Kim is priced at 29-1 at Caesars. 2023 Honda Classic PGA DFS Preview: Can Sungjae Im Bounce Back as Top Stud of the Field? Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. This website is for entertainment purposes only and does not offer real money bets. Niemann played at Harbour Town last week and tied for 12th. One of the most accurate players in the field and always seems to make the putts he should. Hovland on the other hand comes into this event looking to complete the hat trick of wins here in the space of three years. See the full Puerto Rico Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.. Nate Lashley 16-1 Ben Martin 20-1 Brandon Harkins 22-1 The 26-year-old hasn't been great in this event the past two years, but he did finish third in 2020. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. His ball-striking is elite on this circuit, but hes not reliant on that aspect of his game. Its the type of course the ultra-accurate Streelman could still contend, and though hes only played this event once since 2009, he does boast a top-three to his name a long time ago. RELATED:LIV Golf loses ratings battle to Worlds Funniest Animals? GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. section: | slug: 2023-american-express-picks-predictions-odds-field-top-pga-expert-says-back-scottie-scheffler-this-week | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | McClure has also locked in a slew of other prop bets for the the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, including a long shot listed at 100-1 to win it all. Hes gained 17.03 strokes putting over his last six measured starts, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Immaculate; inching back to peak levels. Will Zalatoris ($9,400 DraftKings | $10,900 FanDuel). RELATED: What to make of LIV Golfs tumultuous inaugural season. Hes been good not great, but we are being asked to pay for greatness at this price tag. Hes separating himself from fields via his strong iron play but has left some room for improvement on the greens. His game looks close, finishing T-5 at the Zozo Championship and T-21 at the CJ Cup in his only two PGA Tour starts this season. Its his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three weeks. 2023 Honda Classic Odds & Trends: Shane Lowry & Sunjae Im Lead the Pack. Before you lock in any 2023 American Express picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. Montgomerys putter has cooled off, and hes been exposed a bit in the elevated events. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. Matt Fitzpatrick ($8,800 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). Hes played this event once, finishing T-17 last year while losing 5.24 strokes in the short game. 1 Scottie Scheffler. Sports Betting Legality Map Instead, the golfing world is heading to Vidanta Vallarta for the first time to play the Mexico Open this week. The 2023 Genesis Invitational. Min Woo Lee hasnt played an official PGA Tour event since the Open Championship (T-21) but has been crushing the DP World Tour as of late. Shriners: Sungjae Im. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Scheffler will be rusty coming in and only finished 45th in the one event he has played in the last nine weeks. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. If youre look for win equity in the 40-1+ range, look no further than J-Day. This run of good form has resulted in two top-10 PGA Tour finishes in his last four events. Gambling problem? Hes combining solid approach play with a hot putter to throw his name into the mix more consistently. Berrymans Arnold Palmer Invitational Core Plays: Few Handle Wind as Well as Scottie Scheffler. The other was Stuart Appleby, who won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in 2004, 2005 and 2006. Powers, Golf Digest: Austin Smotherman (200-1, BetMGM) Short knockers who can pure their irons usually fare well here, and thats exactly what Smotherman is. Expect regression in that category against a much deeper field. After seemingly making strides with his approach play in La Jolla and Phoenix, he took a few steps backlosing 2.90 strokes on approach at Riviera.
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